Jan ki baat releases opinion poll for 2019 loksabha elections ; predicts BJP lead NDA to form next government
Jan ki baat releases opinion poll for 2019 loksabha elections, predicts BJP lead NDA to form next government.
It is the same organisation which predicted very close results for Tripura Assembly elections 2018 in association with Headlines Tripura.
Time and time they proved to very accurate with their prepoll predictions.
The survey for the lok sabha elections were done with taking a sample size of 5lakhs.
The results of Jan Ki Baat Poll done in partnership with Republic and Republic Bharat between Feb 1 to April 2 2019
OVERALL NUMBERS
ABSOLUTE
NDA: 304
UPA: 126
OTHERS: 113
BJP: 248
INC: 73
OTHERS IN NDA: 56
RANGE
NDA: 304 – 316
UPA: 126 – 117
BJP 248 TO 260
OTHERS IN NDA: 56
INC: 73 TO 70
OTHERS IN UPA: 53 TO 47
OTHERS NON UPA -113 TO 110
VOTE SHARE 2019
NDA: 41.5%
BJP: 34.5%
OTHERS: 34%
UPA: 24.5%
INC-20.81%
1)
MAHARASHTRA (48)
NDA: 33-39 (37)
UPA: 15 TO 9 (11)
(BJP 20, SHIV SENA 17, 5 INC, 6 NCP)
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2)
UTTAR PRADESH (80)
BJP: 43-52 (47)
SP-BSP: 33-25 (30)
INC: 4-3 (3)
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3)
MADHYA PRADESH (29)
BJP: 22-25 (24)
INC: 7-4 (5)
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4)
RAJASTHAN (25)
BJP: 19-22 (21)
INC: 6-3 (4)
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5)
CHHATTISGARH (11)
BJP: 4-5 (4)
INC: 7-6 (7)
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6)
JHARKHAND (14)
BJP: 9-11 (10)
JMM: 3-2 (2)
INC: 1-0 (1)
JBM 1 (1)
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7)
TAMIL NADU (39)
NDA: 20-21 (20)
UPA: 19-18 (19)
(BJP 3-4 SEATS (3), INC 3 SEATS)
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8)
BIHAR (40)
NDA: 28-33 (30)
UPA: 12-7 (10)
(BJP 14-15 / 17 CONTESTING )
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9)
BENGAL (42)
BJP: 11-16 (12)
INC: 2-3 (2)
TMC: 28-22 (27)
CPM: 1-2 (1)
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10)
GUJARAT (26)
BJP: 21-23 (22)
INC: 5-3 (4)
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11)
DELHI (7)
BJP 5 – 6
INC 1-0
AAP – 1
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12)
KARNATAKA (28)
BJP: 16-20 (18)
INC-JDS: 12-7 (9)
INDEPENDENT: 0-1 (1)
(INC 7, JDS 2)
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13)
HARYANA
7 TO 8 BJP (7)
2 TO 1 ( INC)(2)
1 JJP( 1)
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14)
ANDHRA PRADESH (25)
YSRCP: 13-16 (14)
TDP: 12-8 (10)
BJP: 0-1 (1)
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15)
TELANGANA (17)
TRS: 14 – 15
AIMIM: 1
BJP : 1
INC: 1-0
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16)
PUNJAB (13)
INC: 9-10
BJP: 1-0
AKALI DAL: 3-2
AAP: 0-1
(INC 9, NDA 3, AAP 1)
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17)
HIMACHAL PRADESH (4)
BJP – 4
INC – 0
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18
GOA (2)
BJP: 1-2 (1)
INC: 1-0 (1)
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19)
UTTARAKHAND (5)
BJP: 5
INC: 0
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20
JAMMU KASHMIR (6)
BJP: 1- 2 (2) (UDHAMPUR, JAMMU)
INC: 2 – 1 ((LEH)
NC: 2 (BARAMULLA, SRINAGAR )
PDP: 1 (ANANTNAG)
UPA: 4-3
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21)
ASSAM (14)
BJP 8 – 9 (8)
BDF 1 – 0 (1)
INC 4 – 3 (4)
OTHERS 1
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22)
TRIPURA(2)
BJP 2
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23)
MANIPUR (2)
BJP 0-1
INC 0-1
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24)
MIZORAM (1)
MNF 0-1
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25)
MEGHALAYA (2)
INC 0 -1
NPP 0- 1
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26)
ARUNACHAL(2)
2 BJP
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27)
SIKKIM(1)
BJP 1
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28)
NAGALAND(1)
NDPP 1
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29)
ODISHA (21)
BJP 8 – 12
BJD 12- 9
INC 1 to 0
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30)
KERALA (20)
UDF 14 -16
LDF 5 – 4
BJP 1 – 0
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31)
ANDAMAN NICOBAR (1)
BJP
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32)
LAKSHWADEEP (1)
NCP
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33)
PUDUCHERRY (1)
AINRC
(NDA)
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34)
DAMAN DIU
BJP 1
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35)
CHANDIGARH
BJP 1
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36)
DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI
BJP: 0-1
INC: 0
IND: 0-1